Henry Olsen
Architect of the Capitol

Sights on the Senate

Politics | Democrats hoping to take control of the U.S. Senate face formidable odds 
by Henry Olsen
Posted 3/15/18, 02:48 pm

Most news stories about the midterm elections focus on Republican weaknesses. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings are low, Republicans trail in the generic ballot, and enthusiasm among Democrats seems likely to boost their turnout. Despite these factors, there is one ray of sunshine for the GOP: the U.S. Senate. Both polling and historical analysis suggest Republicans could gain seats there even as the party generally suffers a downturn.

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Evan Vucci/AP

November prospects

Politics | A jump in President Trump’s approval rating boosts GOP hopes
by Henry Olsen
Posted 2/15/18, 03:11 pm

President Donald Trump’s job approval ratings have risen a lot in the last month. Many Republicans think this improvement may be good enough to save them from an electoral wipeout this fall. That may yet happen, but the improvements so far are not good enough to remove the GOP from danger.

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Tax breaks and politics

Politics | The GOP shouldn’t expect a major political boost from its tax-cut plan
by Henry Olsen
Posted 12/12/17, 11:14 pm

Republicans have been banking all year on the idea that in November 2018 voters will look at a roaring economy whose flames have been stoked by a gigantic tax cut and reward the party that passed it. My sense: The impact will be neither as positive for GOP fortunes as Republicans hope nor as negative as Democrats desire.

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