Henry Olsen
Jones: Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call via AP • Gardner: J. Scott Applewhite/AP • Collins: Al Drago/Getty Images • McSally: Matt York/AP

2020 vision

Congress | Gaining Senate control in 2020 seems an unlikely prospect for Democrats
by Henry Olsen
Posted 1/31/19, 12:31 pm

The furor over Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court appointment showed how important Senate control is to our ongoing culture war. In January, candidates were already announcing their bids for U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020. While it’s too early to make any strong predictions, an early glance at the 2020 Senate map suggests continued Republican control is the likeliest outcome.

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Michael Conroy/AP

Leftward shift

Politics | The midterm elections showed less-churched Americans are trending Democratic
by Henry Olsen
Posted 1/02/19, 04:24 pm

Much post-midterm election analysis focused on the role education and place of residence played in the outcome. It’s true that educated suburbanites moved toward the Democrats and less-educated whites in rural areas or small towns stuck with the Republicans. But another, less-recognized shift took place among America’s less-observant but religious voters, and it could have important implications for the two parties’ political prospects.

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Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Election energy

Politics | Election Day turnout isn’t the only way voter enthusiasm will make a difference this year
by Henry Olsen
Posted 10/25/18, 12:05 pm

Many political pundits claim that Democratic enthusiasm will be the key to this year’s midterm elections. They are mostly thinking of turnout: Democratic voters hate President Donald Trump so much that they will vote in much higher than usual numbers. But the real effect of that enthusiasm might be found elsewhere.

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